Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Vulnerable Species in Gandaki River Basin,Central Himalayas     

Raju RAI  ZHANG Yili  LIU Linshan  Paras Bikram SINGH  Basanta PAUDEL  Bipin Kumar ACHARYA  Narendra Raj KHANAL 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2022,13(2):173-185

Gandaki River Basin (GRB) is an important part of the central Himalayan region, which provides habitat for numerous wild species. However, climatic changes are making the habitat in this basin more vulnerable. This paper aims to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the spatial distributions of habitat changes for two vulnerable species, Himalayan black bear (Ursus thibetanus laniger) and common leopard (Panthera pardus fusca), using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) species distribution model. Species occurrence locations were used along with several bioclimatic and topographic variables (elevation, slope and aspect) to fit the model and predict the potential distributions (current and future) of the species. The results show that the highly suitable area of Himalayan black bear within the GRB currently encompasses around 1642 km² (5.01% area of the basin), which is predicted to increase by 51 km² in the future (2050). Similarly, the habitat of common leopard is estimated as 3999 km² (12.19% of the GRB area), which is likely to increase to 4806 km² in 2050. Spatially, the habitat of Himalayan black bear is predicted to increase in the eastern part (Baseri, Tatopani and north from Bhainse) and to decrease in the eastern (Somdang, Chhekampar), western (Burtibang and Bobang) and northern (Sangboche, Manang, Chhekampar) parts of the study area. Similarly, the habitat of common leopard is projected to decrease particularly in the eastern, western and southern parts of the basin, although it is estimated to be extended in the southeastern (Bhainse), western (Harichaur and northern Sandhikhark) and north-western (Sangboche) parts of the basin. To determine the habitat impact, the environmental variables such as elevation, Bio 15 (precipitation seasonality) and Bio 16 (precipitation of wettest quarter) highly contribute to habitat change of Himalayan black bear; while Bio 13 (precipitation of wettest month) and Bio 15 are the main contributors for common leopard. Overall, this study predicted that the suitable habitat areas of both species are likely to be impacted by climate change at different altitudes in the future, and these are the areas that need more attention in order to protect these species.  相似文献   

Assessment of glacier stored water in Karakoram Himalaya using satellite remote sensing and field investigation     

Kamal Kant SINGH  Harendra Singh NEGI  Dhiraj Kumar SINGH 《山地科学学报》2019,(4)

Karakoram Himalaya(KH) has continental climatic conditions and possesses largest concentration of glaciers outside the polar regions. The melt water from these glaciers is a major contributor to the Indus river. In this study, various methods have been used to estimate the ice volume in the Karakoram Range of glaciers such as Coregistration of Optically Sensed Images and Correlation(COSI-Corr) method and Area-Volume relations. Landsat 8 satellite data has been used to generate the ice displacement, velocity and thickness map. Our study for 558 Karakoram glaciers revealed that the average ice thickness in Karakoram is 90 m. Ground Penetrating Radar(GPR) survey has been conducted in one of the KH glacier i.e. Saser La glacier and the collected GPR data is used for the validation of satellite derived thickness map. GPR measured glacier thickness values are found comparable with satellite estimated values with RMSE of 4.3 m. The total ice volume of the Karakoram glaciers is estimated to be 1607±19 km3(1473±17 Gt), which is equivalent to 1473±17 km3 of water equivalent. Present study also covers the analysis of glacier surface displacement, velocity and ice thickness values with reference to glacier mean slope.  相似文献   

REPLY TO COMMENTS BY D.V. THIEL*     

RAMESH P. SINGH 《Geophysical Prospecting》1986,34(6):925-926

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A note on the applicability of log-Gumbel and log-logistic probability distributions in hydrological analyses: I. Known pdf     

PAWEL M. ROWINSKI  WITOLD G. STRUPCZEWSKI  VIJAY P. SINGH 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(1):107-122

Abstract

Two probability density functions (pdf), popular in hydrological analyses, namely the log-Gumbel (LG) and log-logistic (LL), are discussed with respect to (a) their applicability to hydrological data and (b) the drawbacks resulting from their mathematical properties. This paper—the first in a two-part series—examines a classical problem in which the considered pdf is assumed to be the true distribution. The most significant drawback is the existence of the statistical moments of LG and LL for a very limited range of parameters. For these parameters, a very rapid increase of the skewness coefficient, as a function of the coefficient of variation, is observed (especially for the log-Gumbel distribution), which is seldom observed in the hydrological data. These probability distributions can be applied with confidence only to extreme situations. For other cases, there is an important disagreement between empirical data and theoretical distributions in their tails, which is very important for the characterization of the distribution asymmetry. The limited range of shape parameters in both distributions makes the analyses (such as the method of moments), that make use of the interpretation of moments, inconvenient. It is also shown that the often-used L-moments are not sufficient for the characterization of the location, scale and shape parameters of pdfs, particularly in the case where attention is paid to the tail part of probability distributions. The maximum likelihood method guarantees an asymptotic convergence of the estimators beyond the domain of the existence of the first two moments (or L-moments), but it is not sensitive enough to the upper tails shape.  相似文献   

Simulation of infiltration from porous clay pipe in subsurface irrigation     

SHAHRAM ASHRAFI  ASHIM DAS GUPTA  MUKAND SINGH BABEL  NORIHIRO IZUMI  RAINER LOOF 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(2):253-268

Abstract

Advances in the traditional method of subsurface porous clay pipe irrigation rely on knowledge of the distribution of water in the soil. Knowing the relationships among the hydraulic and physical parameters in the system is important for both the design and management of the system. To simulate the infiltration from the porous clay pipe and predict the wetted zone geometry in the soil, a computer model is developed herein. Laboratory experiments were conducted on soil samples representing two different soil textures in a specially designed bin to understand the flow phenomenon and to validate the developed model. In a given soil texture, the installation depth of the pipe and the volume of water applied in the soil are the major factors affecting the wetted zone. The relationships among various parameters, namely lateral spacing, installation depth, irrigation run time, hydraulic conductivity of the body of the pipe, and hydraulic head in the system, were established using the developed model.  相似文献   

EFFECTS OF DATA ERRORS AND ACCURACY IN SECOND DERIVATIVE COMPUTATION BY RATIONAL APPROXIMATION*     

B. N. P. AGARWAL  J. SINGH 《Geophysical Prospecting》1975,23(1):156-162

The effects of systematic (constant) and random errors in the observed data have been investigated analytically for rational approximation method of computing second derivative involving a summation of the products of the averages of the gravity field with the corresponding weight coefficients, both in numerator as well as in denominator. A theoretical gravity anomaly over three spheres has been analyzed to demonstrate the high accuracy in the approximation. Since the sums of the weight coefficients in numerator and denominator are zero and one respectively, the regional gravity anomaly, even though approximated by a constant value over the entire area under computation, can produce substantially large error in the calculated derivative value. This is happening because of the contribution of the regional field in the denominator. Thus, inspite of the high accuracy in rational approximation, the method has limited application to field cases where a combined gravity field consisting of regional and residual anomalies is usually used. Master curves are presented for the constant and random errors by which a rough estimate of the percentage of error in second derivative computation can be made provided one has some idea of the magnitudes of the regional field and random error.  相似文献   

Orthopyroxene-Bearing Rocks of Charnockitic Affinities in the South Savanna--Kanuku Complex of British Guiana     

SINGH  S. 《Journal of Petrology》1966,7(2):171-192

Orthopyroxene-bearing rocks of the South Savanna—Kanukucomplex of British Guiana vary in composition from basic toacid types. They include basic granulites; acid, orthopyroxene-bearingbiotite gneisses; orthopyroxene-bearing acid granulites; orthopyroxene-bearinggranites, and orthopyroxene-bearing xenoliths contained in theSouth Savanna Granite. The field, petrographic, and chemicalcharacters of the rocks bear strong resemblances to charnockitesdescribed from other parts of the world, but the origins formany charnockites are inconsistent with evidence advanced forthe evolution of the South Savanna—Kanuku rocks. Fieldand petrographic criteria indicate that the basic granuliteswere originally intrusive basic rocks and have suffered regionalmetamorphism of Granulite Facies grade, which induced the conversionof clinopyroxene to orthopyroxene. The orthopyroxene-bearing,acid biotite gneisses and acid granulites have resulted fromcontamination by enclosed basic granulites which occur as boudins,bands, and lenses. The orthopyroxene-bearing granites and xenolithsare related to the assimilation of intruded orthopyroxene-bearingcountry rocks by the South Savanna Granite and its apophyses. The chemistry of the rocks appears to support the conclusionsreached from field and petrographic studies by indicating consistentenrichment of Ca, Mg, Fe, and Na in the orthopyroxene-bearingrocks compared with their non-orthopyroxene-bearing equivalents.Variation diagrams also indicate slightly anomalous plots forthe orthopyroxene-bearing rocks of the complex.  相似文献   

HIGH-FREQUENCY SHALLOW SEISMIC REFLECTION MAPPING IN TIN MINING*     

SURENDRA SINGH 《Geophysical Prospecting》1984,32(6):1033-1044

Field results of shallow seismic reflections obtained with a propane-oxygen detonator (POD) are presented. The survey site was in a tin-mining area of the Kinta Valley in Malaysia. The shallow and irregular limestone bedrock is overlain by alluvial “tailing” and virgin sediments. Sizes of such mining areas can range from about 320 ± 320 m² to 900 ± 900 m². The survey was intended to delineate the topography of the bedrock, which is of vital importance in tin ore exploration and exploitation. The equipment included single- and 12-channel signal enhancement seismographs, the POD, a hammer and thumper. The inexpensive and portable POD generates directional waves of reproducible form, variable energy of high frequency, and only a few surface waves at short offsets. Reflections at around 200 Hz were obtained from the shallow bedrock at about 25 m as well as from very shallow lithological interfaces. The interpretation of seismograms is supported by drill-hole lithological sections and synthetic seismograms. The data illustrate the successful use of shallow reflections for mapping irregular bedrock. Reflection seismics can provide better horizontal and vertical details than the refraction method. Further improvements based on the data-processing flexibility of new signal enhancement seismographs and synthetic seismograms are suggested.  相似文献   

BED MORPHOLOGY OF THE KOSI RIVER, GANGETIC PLAINS     

Prabhata K. SWAMEE  Barham PARKASH  Harbhajan SINGH Prof.  Civil Engrg. Dept.  Univ. of Roorkee  Roorkee  India  Prof.  Earth Sciences Dept.  Univ. of Roorkee  Roorkee 《国际泥沙研究》2002,17(1)

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Platinum group elements geochemistry of ultramafic and associated rocks from Pindar in Madawara Igneous Complex, Bundelkhand massif, central India     

V BALARAM  S P SINGH  M SATYANARAYANAN  K V ANJAIAH 《Journal of Earth System Science》2013,122(1):79-91

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